Summary:
The dollar is steady as traders bet on stable US inflation for a potential Fed rate cut; the Aussie trims gains from Asian factory growth.
EBC Forex Snapshot, 3 Jun 2024
The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as traders wagered that US inflation may have stabilised enough for the Fed to cut rates later, while the Aussie pare earlier gains from factory growth across Asia.
The greenback posted its first monthly decline of the year in May with markets pricing in 37 bps of cuts this year from the Fed. Focus will be on the ISM manufacturing survey later in the day.
China's Caixin survey reported its factory index increased to 51.7 in May, a two-year high. Japan's factory activity expanded for the first time in a year, and South Korea’s grew at the fastest pace in two years.
| Citi (as of 27 May) | HSBC (as of 3 Jun) | |||
| support | resistance | support | resistance | |
| EUR/USD | 1.0793 | 1.0895 | 1.0773 | 1.0902 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2300 | 1.2803 | 1.2563 | 1.2857 |
| USD/CHF | 0.8988 | 0.9244 | 0.8950 | 0.9123 |
| AUD/USD | 0.6563 | 0.6729 | 0.6582 | 0.6718 |
| USD/CAD | 1.3478 | 1.3846 | 1.3561 | 1.3717 |
| USD/JPY | 152.12 | 157.68 | 154.67 | 158.86 |
The green numbers in the table indicate that the data has increased compared with the previous time; the red numbers indicate that the data has decreased compared with the previous time; and the black numbers indicate that the data has remained unchanged.
Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
The dollar held gains and rose slightly in Asia Monday as Japan's holiday cut liquidity, focusing attention on China's disappointing stimulus.
2024-10-14
The US dollar dipped from a two-month high but is set for a second consecutive weekly gain as weak labor market signals support faster Fed rate cuts.
2024-10-11
The US hovered near a two-month high on Thursday as markets grew confident in the Fed's patient monetary policy ahead of a key inflation report.
2024-10-10
