USD/EUR/GBP near 3-month low

2024-06-04
Summary:

The dollar hit a low against the euro and sterling on Tuesday as softening US economy signals raised chances of earlier Fed rate cuts.

EBC Forex Snapshot, 4 Jun 2024


The dollar languished at its lowest since March against the euro and sterling on Tuesday as signs of a softening US economy boosted the case for earlier Fed interest rate cuts.


The ISM purchasing managers index for manufacturing fell to 48.7 in May, from 49.2 in April, while construction spending slid unexpectedly for a second consecutive month in April.

EURUSD

Following the data, fed funds futures increased the chances of a rate cut in September to around 59.1%, according to LSEG's data. Markets are pricing in 57 bps of ECB cuts this year.

Citibank vs. HSBC Currency Pair Data Comparison

Citi (as of 27 May) HSBC (as of 3 Jun)

support resistance support resistance
EUR/USD 1.0793 1.0895 1.0773 1.0902
GBP/USD 1.2300 1.2803 1.2563 1.2857
USD/CHF 0.8988 0.9244 0.8950 0.9123
AUD/USD 0.6563 0.6729 0.6582 0.6718
USD/CAD 1.3478 1.3846 1.3561 1.3717
USD/JPY 152.12 157.68 154.67 158.86

The green numbers in the table indicate that the data has increased compared with the previous time; the red numbers indicate that the data has decreased compared with the previous time; and the black numbers indicate that the data has remained unchanged.


Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

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