Inflation has cooled, but the Fed is holding rates to avoid a second wave, finish the last mile, and stop markets easing too soon. Watch cut expectations.
Markets move on surprises, not headlines. Learn what “priced in” means using gold (XAUUSD), plus 3 case studies across earnings, macro, and geopolitics.
Following the 2026 Strait of Hormuz closure, oil hit $120, crashing Asian markets. High energy dependency fueled inflation, currency drops, and capital flight.
Quantitative tightening impacts money availability, not just price. As liquidity buffers drain, markets face higher volatility and faster stress transmission.
NVIDIA beat estimates and guided higher, but the stock fell as investors wanted more than strong numbers from an AI leader already priced for perfection.
The Fed is expected to keep rates at 3.75%; investors watch Powell's remarks. Weak hiring and higher oil may complicate policy, but changes are unlikely.
Japan’s rate rise ends the cheap-yen era, nudging investors to rebalance, lifting global yields and volatility worldwide via hedging costs and carry unwinds.
US Core PCE rose 3% in January, highest since April 2024, with energy risks from the Middle East adding inflation pressure and supporting Fed inaction.
US February CPI held at 2.4% as higher food, gas and clothing prices stalled inflation progress. Strong spending and oil above $100 raise reflation risks.
The euro’s surge helps cut import costs, but it squeezes exporters and earnings, especially Germany, and may force ECB cuts as inflation cools in 2026.
US January jobs rose 130k, beating forecasts, but 2025 hiring revised down to 181k; manufacturing stagnant, challenging 2026 midterm economic narrative.
Oil is rising as Hormuz shipping slows: insurers reprice war risk, freight surges, and delays matter as much as supply losses across global energy markets.
The Fed acts as the global price setter for money via rates, while the PBOC directs credit allocation and growth through targeted tools and state-led policies.
