Wednesday's dollar struggle - EBC Daily Snapshot

2023-11-15
Summary:

Wednesday's weak dollar reflected lower-than-expected US inflation, fueling speculation that the Fed's tightening cycle has peaked.

EBC Forex Snapshot


15 Nov 2023


The dollar sputtered on Wednesday as a lower-than-expected US inflation reading bolstered bets that the Fed has reached the end of its monetary tightening cycle.


Markets ruled out the possibility of another rate hike next month while bets of a rate cut in May next year increased to around 50%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

GBPUSDSterling eased after data showed British inflation cooled more than forecast in October. CPI rose by 4.6% in Oct, the lowest level in two years, from Sep’s 6.7%.

Citibank vs. HSBC Currency Pair Data Comparison

Citi (as of 6 Nov) HSBC (as of 15 Nov)

support resistance support resistance
EUR/USD 1.0448 1.0737 1.0535 1.0776
GBP/USD 1.2037 1.2448 1.2050 1.2410
USD/CHF 0.8745 0.9338 0.8905 0.9131
AUD/USD 0.6400 0.6599 0.6248 0.6502
USD/CAD 1.3569 1.3899 1.3656 1.3928
USD/JPY 147.43 151.95 149.51 152.46

The green numbers in the table indicate an increase in data, the red numbers indicate a decrease in data, and the black numbers indicate that the data remains unchanged.


Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

The Swiss franc rose to a more than one-week high

The Swiss franc rose to a more than one-week high

On Friday, the US dollar fell to a one-week low as mixed job market signals emerged before key payroll data likely to influence Fed policy.

2024-09-06
The yen strengthens as a safe haven

The yen strengthens as a safe haven

The dollar fell Thursday on US economic worries, with the yen rising on safe-haven demand. Traders see a 44% chance of a 50-bp cut this month.

2024-09-05
Safe-haven currencies rallied on Wednesday

Safe-haven currencies rallied on Wednesday

Safe-haven currencies surged Wednesday as Wall Street and Asian stocks fell sharply, leading to losses in commodity currencies.

2024-09-04