The US dollar was stable on Monday, but investors prepared for further declines as the Fed turned less hawkish and US job growth slowed.
EBC Forex Snapshot
6 Nov 2023
The US dollar was little changed on Monday but investors are bracing for its extended declines after the Fed dialled down its hawkish rhetoric and US job growth cooled last month.
A drop in long-dated Treasury yields sent sterling, the Australian dollar and the yen higher. The pound surged last week but it is still down about 6% in four months.
A survey indicated that Britain's services businesses was losing momentum for a third month in a row in Oct. Markets imply around an 80% probability the ECB will be cutting rates by April, while the BOE is seen easing in August.
Citi (as of 30 Oct) | HSBC (as of 6 Nov) | |||
support | resistance | support | resistance | |
EUR/USD | 1.0448 | 1.0737 | 1.0581 | 1.0812 |
GBP/USD | 1.2037 | 1.2337 | 1.2165 | 1.2486 |
USD/CHF | 0.8745 | 0.9338 | 0.8879 | 0.9105 |
AUD/USD | 0.6253 | 0.6445 | 0.6346 | 0.6597 |
USD/CAD | 1.3569 | 1.3862 | 1.3542 | 1.3837 |
USD/JPY | 147.43 | 151.95 | 148.19 | 151.14 |
The green numbers in the table indicate an increase in data, the red numbers indicate a decrease in data, and the black numbers indicate that the data remains unchanged.
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On Friday, the US dollar fell to a one-week low as mixed job market signals emerged before key payroll data likely to influence Fed policy.
2024-09-06The dollar fell Thursday on US economic worries, with the yen rising on safe-haven demand. Traders see a 44% chance of a 50-bp cut this month.
2024-09-05Safe-haven currencies surged Wednesday as Wall Street and Asian stocks fell sharply, leading to losses in commodity currencies.
2024-09-04