The yen rose as the BOJ showed optimism on growth and signaled cautious tightening, while the dollar fell on expectations of more US rate cuts.
EBC Forex Snapshot , 20 Sep 2024
The yen pared its losses on Friday as the BOJ sounded optimistic about growth and signalled it will be judicious about further policy tightening, while the dollar sagged as markets priced in more US rate cuts.
The central bank maintained its view the economy remained on track for a moderate recovery, but said inflation was moderating and on target, leaving traders reluctant to increase bearish bets.
Markets imply a 40% chance the Fed will cut by another 50 bps in November. Rates are seen at 2.85% by the end of 2025, which is now thought to be the Fed's estimate of neutral.
Citi (as of 16 Sep) | HSBC (as of 20 Sep) | |||
support | resistance | support | resistance | |
EUR/USD | 1.0857 | 1.1202 | 1.1045 | 1.1233 |
GBP/USD | 1.2812 | 1.3266 | 1.3084 | 1.3399 |
USD/CHF | 0.8375 | 0.8763 | 0.8384 | 0.8559 |
AUD/USD | 0.6618 | 0.6871 | 0.6676 | 0.6895 |
USD/CAD | 1.3441 | 1.3792 | 1.3466 | 1.3649 |
USD/JPY | 140.25 | 147.13 | 139.05 | 146.69 |
The green numbers in the table indicate that the data has increased compared with the previous time; the red numbers indicate that the data has decreased compared with the previous time; and the black numbers indicate that the data has remained unchanged.
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