Summary:
The dollar was steady Monday as weak US jobs data raised the odds of Fed rate cuts. The Yen dropped after suspected intervention last week.
EBC Forex Snapshot, 6 May 2024
The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as a soft US jobs report boosted wagers that the Fed may still cut rates this year, while the yen lurched lower after last week's suspected intervention.
Data on Friday showed job growth slowed more than expected in April and the increase in annual wages fell below 4% for the first time in nearly three years. A rate cut in November are fully priced in now.
The Yen's rally was linear in a market decidedly bearish on the currency, given the massive gap between its yields and those in other major economies. It has swung wildly recently, suggesting a bumpy road ahead.
| Citi (as of 29 Apr) | HSBC (as of 3 May) | |||
| support | resistance | support | resistance | |
| EUR/USD | 1.0601 | 1.0885 | 1.0632 | 1.0785 |
| GBP/USD | 1.2289 | 1.2524 | 1.2362 | 1.2635 |
| USD/CHF | 0.8999 | 0.9157 | 0.9002 | 0.9216 |
| AUD/USD | 0.6362 | 0.6668 | 0.6420 | 0.6646 |
| USD/CAD | 1.3478 | 1.3846 | 1.3585 | 1.3802 |
| USD/JPY | 155.00 | 160.20 | 150.98 | 158.15 |
The green numbers in the table indicate that the data has increased compared with the previous time; the red numbers indicate that the data has decreased compared with the previous time; and the black numbers indicate that the data has remained unchanged.
Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
The dollar held gains and rose slightly in Asia Monday as Japan's holiday cut liquidity, focusing attention on China's disappointing stimulus.
2024-10-14
The US dollar dipped from a two-month high but is set for a second consecutive weekly gain as weak labor market signals support faster Fed rate cuts.
2024-10-11
The US hovered near a two-month high on Thursday as markets grew confident in the Fed's patient monetary policy ahead of a key inflation report.
2024-10-10
