Thursday saw the dollar dip as the Fed's new economic outlook suggested the end of the interest-rate hike cycle, signaling a policy shift in 2024.
EBC Forex Snapshot
14 Dec 2023
The dollar slipped on Thursday after the Fed's latest economic projections indicated that the interest-rate hike cycle has ended and policy shift will happen in 2024.
Markets are now pricing in around a 75% chance of a rate cut in March, according to CME FedWatch tool, compared with 54% a week earlier. A soft landing is more likely for the US economy.
The euro jumped in response. The ECB is going to announce its policy decision later in the day and the central banks is expected to wrap up the most aggressive rate hikes in decades.
Citi (as of 1 Dec) | HSBC (as of 14 Dec) | |||
support | resistance | support | resistance | |
EUR/USD | 1.0852 | 1.1020 | 1.0724 | 1.1019 |
GBP/USD | 1.2347 | 1.2746 | 1.2499 | 1.2735 |
USD/CHF | 0.8684 | 0.8957 | 0.8637 | 0.8821 |
AUD/USD | 0.6522 | 0.6750 | 0.6551 | 0.6736 |
USD/CAD | 1.3417 | 1.3695 | 1.3426 | 1.3660 |
USD/JPY | 146.70 | 151.91 | 139.82 | 147.83 |
The green numbers in the table indicate an increase in data, the red numbers indicate a decrease in data, and the black numbers indicate that the data remains unchanged.
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