Oil Prices Back Above 90 as Iran Vows Revenge
2024-04-12
Summary:
Oil surged to $90 on Friday due to tensions in the Middle East. Iran vows retaliation after an alleged Israeli attack on its Syrian embassy.
Oil prices rose back to $90 in early trade on Friday on heightened tensions in the Middle East, where Iran has promised to retaliate for a suspected Israeli air strike on its embassy in Syria.
The two rivalling countries have been trading threats in the aftermath of the aggression. Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz swiftly said that "if Iran attacks from its territory, Israel will respond.”
The US government raised its forecast for Crude Oil output, expecting an increase of 280,000 bpd to 13.21 million bpd in 2024, up 20,000 bpd from an earlier forecast from the EIA.
US crude stocks climbed by 5.8 million barrels in the week ended 5 April, more than double the rise of about 2.4 million barrels analysts had expected. Refined products inventories also rose unexpectedly.
With a seasonal demand uptick due over the summer, many traders expect there could be a further rally to come for oil prices in the coming months after prices pierced $90 for the first time in months.
A new Chinese mega refinery received about 170,000 barrels a day of import quotas, pointing to continued gains in demand for the world’s largest importer. The focus will now turn to OPEC's decision in June.
Brent crude was digesting its recent gains with the golden cross pattern signaling strong upward momentum. A retest of the high around $92.50 hit in late October will in the cards if the price continues to push higher.
Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
FOMC - Inflation exceeds the 2% target
The market expects a Fed rate cut Thursday, with inflation above 2%, softening the rate-cut logic and influencing next year's decisions.
2024-12-18
European stocks see peak negativity
Europe's STOXX 50 was flat on Tuesday as negative data shocks eased. Eurozone Q3 GDP growth accelerated from 0.2% to 0.4%, partly due to one-offs.
2024-12-18
Euro on the back foot on wider spreads
The dollar held near recent highs, while the euro stayed at a yearly low. The gap between 10-year Treasury and Bund yields widened by 70 bps.
2024-12-17
