Wall St meanders as AI frenzy cools off
2024-04-19
Summary:
Asian shares and bond yields fell as safe-haven assets rose during the Mideast conflict. Nasdaq 100 dropped for the fourth time in five sessions.
Asian shares and bond yields sank on Friday while safe-haven assets surged after reports of a sharp escalation in Middle East hostilities. The Nasdaq 100 fell for its fourth drop in the last five sessions.
A Reuters poll of 100 economists indicated the Fed will implement its first rate cut in September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell declined to provide guidance on the timing earlier this week.
The VIX index hit 19.6, its highest since20 Oct, as market has been rocked by the confrontation between Israel and Iran. The upswing makes it costly to hedge portfolios against gyrations.
Some investors have warned that the current level of AI chip demand is unsustainable over the long run. The sector has been hit by concerns over delayed interest rate cuts by the Fed.
A gauge of global chip stocks has fallen together into a technical correction – a sign of peak AI frenzy. The Philadelphia Semiconductor was down more than 8% in the week ending 18 Apr.
TSMC beat revenue and profit expectations in Q1, thanks to continued strong demand for advanced chips, but the company scaled back its outlook for a chip market expansion amid weak smartphone and PC sales.
The Nasdaq 100 has been in freefall since mid-April and closed profoundly below the 50 SMA. The 200 SMA may provide a major support level. A slight rally could be around the corner as RSI is close to oversold.
Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.
FOMC - Inflation exceeds the 2% target
The market expects a Fed rate cut Thursday, with inflation above 2%, softening the rate-cut logic and influencing next year's decisions.
2024-12-18
European stocks see peak negativity
Europe's STOXX 50 was flat on Tuesday as negative data shocks eased. Eurozone Q3 GDP growth accelerated from 0.2% to 0.4%, partly due to one-offs.
2024-12-18
Euro on the back foot on wider spreads
The dollar held near recent highs, while the euro stayed at a yearly low. The gap between 10-year Treasury and Bund yields widened by 70 bps.
2024-12-17
